After being denied at the death in Saint-Denis last weekend, betting sites favor Australia issuing an immediate and swift response against Italy this Saturday at Stadio Artemio Franchi.
The third test of the Wallabies’ autumn schedule will take place in Florence. So far, Dave Rennie’s tenure has been fruitful as he seeks to improve his team’s prospects ahead of a busy 2023 season.
Australia has narrowly missed out on a French victory
On October 29, at Murrayfield Stadium, Australia defeated Scotland 16-15 thanks to a final-quarter scoring burst.
Seven days later, the southern hemisphere giants appeared to be on a winning streak when a Jock Campbell try and penalties from both Bernard Foley and Reece Hodge put them four points ahead (29-25) with just five minutes remaining.
However, in a thrilling contest, Damian Penaud touched down in the closing stages to ensure Six Nations champions France had the bare minimum to spare.
There was a lot of heartbreak in the Australian camp after this defeat, but it’s important to put the outcome in context. Despite being ranked second in the world, many consider Les Bleus to be the favorites in Rugby World Cup betting.
France not only won the Six Nations title, but also the Grand Slam, thanks to five wins in five games in the spring.
The French completed their first-ever tour of Japan this summer, winning the series 2-0.
This meant that Fabien Galthié’s team was full of confidence heading into the autumn internationals, and while Australia already had a game under their belts, France did just enough to stay unbeaten in 2022.
Italians Showing Signs of Life
Their next opponents, Italy, are frequently on the opposite end of the spectrum, but the Azzurri are much more assured under New Zealander Kieran Crowley.
At the conclusion of this year’s Six Nations, Italy defeated Wales in a dramatic victory, their first in the tournament in 36 games.
Following that, they went on a European tour, playing Portugal, Romania, and Georgia, winning two tests and losing one to the Georgians.
They had a successful start to this year’s autumn internationals, however, as Pierre Bruno and Monty Ioane both scored a brace of tries in a 49-17 victory over Samoa in Padua last Saturday.
Crowley, a former Canada and Benetton head coach, is certainly getting the most out of his players, but history isn’t on their side heading into Saturday’s game.
The Wallabies are expected to overcome the Azzurri challenge
Italy has lost all 18 tests against Australia to date, and online rugby betting sites are backing them to maintain their perfect record in this match, with the Wallabies rated as 1.1 favourites to take the spoils in Florence.
While they are given a better chance than some of the other underdogs competing this weekend, Italy remain firm 6.0 outsiders with Unibet on their home turf in the early hours of Saturday morning.
Meanwhile, the odds on the game ending in a stalemate are an unlikely 34.0.
Australia will try to come through with extra points.
Despite the fact that Italy is capable of causing problems for Australia, the latter is expected to come out on top.
Bet365 is offering odds of 6.5 on the Wallabies winning by 16 to 20 points and 7.0 on a win by 21 to 25 points.
The same bookmakers have 9.0 on Italy winning by 1 to 5 points, as well as a whopping 41.0 on the Azzurri winning by 11 to 15 points.
Since taking over as Wallabies coach in October 2020, it is safe to say that the aforementioned Dave Rennie’s record has been decidedly mixed.
In 31 international tests, the former Wellington player has 12 wins, three draws, and 16 losses.
Men in the Southern Hemisphere Have Big Scalps
More defeats than victories would irritate Rennie, despite the fact that there have been some notable results during his tenure to date.
Under his leadership, Australia has won three games against South Africa, two against France, and one each against New Zealand and England.
This means the Wallabies have beaten four of the world’s top five ranked nations, with a test against number one Ireland coming up on November 19.
Given that he took over from Michael Cheika at the end of the previous World Cup cycle, Rennie’s performance at next year’s finals in France will most likely be judged.
They are currently the highest-ranked team in their World Cup pool, despite dropping to seventh as a result of their loss to France.
The best way for them to prove they are the team to beat in a five-team group that includes Wales, Fiji, Georgia, and a yet-to-be-determined final qualifier is to win more games on a consistent basis, which begins this Saturday in Florence.
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